Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday


	Tiago Pereira		Max Basing

	1	2
	2.10	1.65
	2.14	1.63
	2.14	1.74
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.11	1.71
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.15	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.18)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
44%

Max Basing
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Max Basing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tiago Pereira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Basing than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Basing could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tiago Pereira - Max Basing Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Basing will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pereira: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 389. Basing is ranked ATP: 250.

Pereira has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Basing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pereira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Pereira will win today's game, with odds of 2.14.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Vadym Ursu - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.08.26	Oleg Prihodko - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Tiago Pereira - Niklas Guttau	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Alan Wazny - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Massimo Pizzigoni - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW
- Max Basing
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Lucio Ratti - Max Basing	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Max Basing - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Max Basing - Rawat Sidharth	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Dominik Palan - Max Basing	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Henry Searle - Max Basing	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL

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