Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sintra 2 (Portugal), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 October 2024, Thursday


	Tiago Pereira		Yaroslav Demin

	1	2
	1.8	1.87
	1.75	1.85
	1.85	1.88
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.81	1.89	Watch
	1.81	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.59)	1.88 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
51%

Yaroslav Demin
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiago Pereira's form might have worsened.

Yaroslav Demin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yaroslav Demin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiago Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yaroslav Demin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 527. Demin is ranked ATP: 693.

Pereira is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Demin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pereira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pereira will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Demin to win the game is with odds 2.24.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ITF Tournaments
09.10.24	Dali Blanch - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.24	Matej Dodig - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Elmer Moeller - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.09.24	Ewen Lumsden - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
13.09.24	Tiago Pereira - Siem Woldeab	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW
- Yaroslav Demin
ITF Tournaments
13.10.24	Yaroslav Demin - Matthew Dellavedova	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Hazem Naw - Yaroslav Demin	0:2
12.10.24	Sergi Perez Contri - Yaroslav Demin	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Yaroslav Demin	1:2 ✺
09.10.24	Arthur Bonnaud - Yaroslav Demin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
09.10.26	Elmer Moller - Tiago Pereira	✺

Tiago Pereira - Yaroslav Demin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide