Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Pontevedra, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Pontevedra 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Tiago Torres		Diego Fernandez Flores

	1	2
	1.7	2.1
	1.60	2.17	Watch
	1.55	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.45)	2.2 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Torres
57.6%

Diego Fernandez Flores
42.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiago Torres's form might have worsened.

Diego Fernandez Flores has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diego Fernandez Flores's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Torres than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiago Torres, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diego Fernandez Flores than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diego Fernandez Flores, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tiago Torres - Diego Fernandez Flores Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Torres is ranked ATP: 874. Fernandez Flores is ranked ATP: 1010.

Torres is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fernandez Flores has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fernandez Flores may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Torres might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Torres
ITF Tournaments
10.10.25	Tiago Torres - Pedro Rodenas	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Tiago Torres - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Tiago Torres - Maxwell Exsted	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Tiago Torres - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Alexander Ritschard - Tiago Torres	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWLW
- Diego Fernandez Flores
ITF Tournaments
10.10.25	Alejandro Juan Mano - Diego Fernandez Flores	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Diego Fernandez Flores - Matyas Fuele	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Xavi Palomar - Diego Fernandez Flores	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Alex Marti Pujolras - Diego Fernandez Flores	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Diego Fernandez Flores - John Sperle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLL

Tiago Torres - Diego Fernandez Flores

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Tiago Torres - Diego Fernandez Flores Predictions

Preview

Form

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