Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Alcala de Henares (Spain), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Alcala de Henares (Spain) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Tian Jialin		Maria Kalyakina

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	2.01	1.69
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.01	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.59)	1.69 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tian Jialin
45.5%

Maria Kalyakina
54.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tian Jialin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tian Jialin's performance.

Maria Kalyakina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Kalyakina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tian Jialin than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tian Jialin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Kalyakina than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Kalyakina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tian Jialin - Maria Kalyakina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jialin is ranked WTA: 1217. Kalyakina is ranked WTA: 807.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kalyakina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kalyakina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tian Jialin
ITF Tournaments
22.11.24	Tian Jialin - Maelle Leclercq	Leclercq M. retired ✺
21.11.24	Katerina Tsygourova - Tian Jialin	0:2 ✺
20.11.24	Ana Giraldi Requena - Tian Jialin	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Didi Bredberg Canizares - Tian Jialin	Canceled ✺
17.10.24	Adrienn Nagy - Tian Jialin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 ?WW?L
- Maria Kalyakina
ITF Tournaments
22.11.24	Claudia Ferrer Perez - Maria Kalyakina	1:2 ✺
21.11.24	Sylvie Zund - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
19.11.24	Olga Parres Azcoitia - Maria Kalyakina	1:2 ✺
12.11.24	Mina Hodzic - Maria Kalyakina	2:0 ✺
22.10.24	Mina Hodzic - Maria Kalyakina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLL

Tian Jialin - Maria Kalyakina

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Tian Jialin - Maria Kalyakina Predictions

Preview

Form

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