Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Lannion, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Tibo Colson		Adrien Gobat

	1	2
	1.25	3.55
	1.21	3.84	Watch
	1.25	3.4
	1.25	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)	3.59 ↑ (3.11)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tibo Colson
74.3%

Adrien Gobat
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tibo Colson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Adrien Gobat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tibo Colson than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tibo Colson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrien Gobat than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adrien Gobat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tibo Colson - Adrien Gobat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Colson is ranked ATP: 575. Gobat is ranked ATP: 751.

Colson is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Gobat has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gobat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Colson is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tibo Colson
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Maxence Bertimon - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Alexis Gautier - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Louis Larue - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.02.26	Christoph Negritu - Tibo Colson	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Mae Malige - Tibo Colson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW
- Adrien Gobat
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Adrien Gobat - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Adrien Gobat - Tom Zeuch	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Adrien Gobat - Marcus Walters	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Adrien Gobat - Henry Searle	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Adrien Gobat - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLL

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