Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Doha (Qatar), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday


	Tibo Colson		Petr Nesterov

	1	2
	1.63	2.23
	1.58	2.28	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.61	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)	2.23 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tibo Colson
58%

Petr Nesterov
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tibo Colson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tibo Colson's performance.

Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petr Nesterov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tibo Colson than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tibo Colson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petr Nesterov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Colson is ranked ATP: 644. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 442.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Nesterov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Tibo Colson - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tibo Colson
ITF Tournaments
22.01.25	Antoine Escoffier - Tibo Colson	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Tibo Colson - Leo Borg	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Cem Ilkel - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
17.01.25	Hynek Barton - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
16.01.25	Mert Alkaya - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWWW
- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
23.01.25	Tim Handel - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
21.01.25	Yuta Kikuchi - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
17.01.25	Leo Borg - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
16.01.25	Alexander Petrov - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
15.01.25	Naoki Tajima - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW

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