Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Tim Handel		Hikaru Shiraishi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.39	1.51	Watch
			Watch
	2.39	1.51
	2.33	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.08)	1.51 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tim Handel
38.8%

Hikaru Shiraishi
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tim Handel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Hikaru Shiraishi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tim Handel than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hikaru Shiraishi than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Tim Handel - Hikaru Shiraishi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Handel is ranked ATP: 660. Shiraishi is ranked ATP: 426.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Handel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shiraishi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tim Handel
ITF Tournaments
30.11.25	Andrej Nedic - Tim Handel	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Tim Handel - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	George Lazarov - Tim Handel	1:2 ✺
27.11.25	Tim Handel - Yassine Dlimi	2:1 ✺
19.11.25	Tim Handel - Justin Schlageter	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWL
- Hikaru Shiraishi
ATP Challenger
11.01.26	Hikaru Shiraishi - Neil Oberleitner	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Akira Santillan - Hikaru Shiraishi	Santillan A. retired ✺
06.01.26	Kasidit Samrej - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Hikaru Shiraishi - Kokoro Isomura	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Hikaru Shiraishi - Thanaphat Boosarawongse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 L?LWW

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