Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Akira Santillan		Hikaru Shiraishi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.29	3.34	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.84)	3.03 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akira Santillan
69.3%

Hikaru Shiraishi
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akira Santillan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akira Santillan's performance.

Hikaru Shiraishi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hikaru Shiraishi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (-27.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akira Santillan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hikaru Shiraishi than the current prediction. (+27.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hikaru Shiraishi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Akira Santillan - Hikaru Shiraishi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Santillan is ranked ATP: 314. Shiraishi is ranked ATP: 424.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Santillan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Akira Santillan - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Hikaru Shiraishi - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akira Santillan
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Akira Santillan - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul - Akira Santillan	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Akira Santillan - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	Yusuke Kusuhara - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Akira Santillan - Kaylan Bigun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWW
- Hikaru Shiraishi
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Kasidit Samrej - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Hikaru Shiraishi - Kokoro Isomura	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Hikaru Shiraishi - Thanaphat Boosarawongse	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Hikaru Shiraishi - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Hikaru Shiraishi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

Akira Santillan - Hikaru Shiraishi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide