Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Timo Legout		Edward Winter

	1	2
	1.72	2.00
	1.82	1.95	Watch
	1.78	2.11
	1.73	1.97	Watch
	1.76	2.08	Watch
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.75	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.09)	2 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timo Legout
53.2%

Edward Winter
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timo Legout has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Timo Legout's performance.

Edward Winter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Edward Winter might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timo Legout than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edward Winter than the current prediction. (+5%)

Timo Legout - Edward Winter Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Legout is ranked ATP: 961. Winter is ranked ATP: 434.

Legout has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Winter is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Legout may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Winter will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timo Legout
ATP Challenger
03.07.26	Timo Legout - Ozan Baris	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Rei Sakamoto - Timo Legout	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Timo Legout - Blaise Bicknell	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Andrew Fenty - Timo Legout	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.06.26	Adam Walton - Timo Legout	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWLL
- Edward Winter
ATP Challenger
03.07.26	Edward Winter - William Manning	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Daniil Glinka - Edward Winter	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Edward Winter - Andrew Fenty	Fenty A. Retired ✺
29.06.26	Hiroki Moriya - Edward Winter	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Ian Mayew - Edward Winter	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WW?WW

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