Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 7, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Timofei Derepasko		Andrea de Marchi

	1	2
	3.25	1.28
	2.85	1.37
	3.41	1.32
	3.07	1.31	Watch
	3.35	1.31
	3.25	1.30	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.7)	1.32 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofei Derepasko
29.1%

Andrea de Marchi
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofei Derepasko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Andrea de Marchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofei Derepasko than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Timofei Derepasko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea de Marchi than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrea de Marchi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Timofei Derepasko - Andrea de Marchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Derepasko is ranked ATP: 758. de Marchi is ranked ATP: 922.

Recent performances by Derepasko have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

de Marchi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

de Marchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, de Marchi is seen as the favorite.

We predict that de Marchi will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofei Derepasko
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Timofei Derepasko - Boris Butulija	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Timofei Derepasko - Luc Wieland	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Matteo Mesaglio - Timofei Derepasko	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Timofei Derepasko - Daniel Phillips	1:2 ✺
27.05.26	Timofei Derepasko - Henry Jefferson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLLL
- Andrea de Marchi
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Nikola Jovic - Andrea de Marchi	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Andrea de Marchi - Jorge Plans	Plans J. Retired ✺
28.06.26	Branko Djuric - Andrea de Marchi	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Andrea de Marchi - Giannicola Misasi	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Andrea de Marchi - Samir Hamza Reguig	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 W?LWW

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