Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 SWAN HILL (AUSTRALIA), GRASS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Tina Nadine Smith		Emerson Jones

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.72
	1.95	1.72
	2.02	1.76
	2.02	1.77
	2.1	1.67
	2.1	1.68	Watch
	2.04	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.58)	1.72 ↓ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tina Nadine Smith
45.9%

Emerson Jones
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tina Nadine Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tina Nadine Smith's form might have worsened.

Emerson Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emerson Jones's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tina Nadine Smith than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tina Nadine Smith, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emerson Jones than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emerson Jones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Smith is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Jones is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Smith could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Smith won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tina Nadine Smith
ITF Tournaments
21.03.24	Monique Barry - Tina Nadine Smith	1:2 ✺
20.03.24	Bianca Compuesto - Tina Nadine Smith	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Jelena Cvijanovic - Tina Nadine Smith	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Maddison Inglis - Tina Nadine Smith	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Tina Nadine Smith - Gabriella Da Silva Fick	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLW
- Emerson Jones
ITF Tournaments
21.03.24	Misaki Matsuda - Emerson Jones	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Belle Thompson - Emerson Jones	0:2 ✺
18.03.24	Emerson Jones - Jia-Jing Lu	2:1 ✺
12.03.24	Emerson Jones - Sakura Hosogi	1:2 ✺
27.02.24	Lanlana Tararudee - Emerson Jones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.02.24	Emerson Jones - Tina Nadine Smith	2:0

Tina Nadine Smith - Emerson Jones: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide