Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 8 (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday


	Tina Nadine Smith		Nina Vargova

	1	2
	1.75	1.91
	1.76	1.95
	1.81	1.93
	1.73	2
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.71	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.53)	1.96 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tina Nadine Smith
52.7%

Nina Vargova
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tina Nadine Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tina Nadine Smith's form might have worsened.

Nina Vargova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nina Vargova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tina Nadine Smith than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tina Nadine Smith, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nina Vargova than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nina Vargova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Vargova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Smith will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tina Nadine Smith
ITF Tournaments
28.09.23	Nadine Keller - Tina Nadine Smith	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Hanne Van De Winkel - Tina Nadine Smith	0:2 ✺
21.09.23	Tina Nadine Smith - Diletta Cherubini	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Tina Nadine Smith - Chiara Scholl	Scholl C. retired ✺
11.09.23	Sara Cakarevic - Tina Nadine Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWL?L
- Nina Vargova
ITF Tournaments
15.09.23	Nina Vargova - Valeriya Olyanovskaya	0:2 ✺
14.09.23	Nina Vargova - Julia Stamatova	2:0 ✺
13.09.23	Daniela Vismane - Nina Vargova	1:2 ✺
18.08.23	Nina Vargova - Anastasiya Soboleva	1:2 ✺
17.08.23	Nina Vargova - Tea Lukic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLW

Tina Nadine Smith - Nina Vargova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide