Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Messina, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 June 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Messina 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini		Matteo Sciahbasi

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Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
33.8%

Matteo Sciahbasi
66.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Matteo Sciahbasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Sciahbasi than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Baragiola Mordini is ranked ATP: 1185. Sciahbasi is ranked ATP: 2203.

Baragiola Mordini is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sciahbasi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Baragiola Mordini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sciahbasi might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
ITF Tournaments
26.05.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Michele Mecarelli - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Matteo Vavassori - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	Spadola A./Vavassori M. Walkover ✺
22.04.26	William Rejchtman Vinciguerra - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Jack Loge - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	Baragiola Mordini T. C. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LL?L?
- Matteo Sciahbasi
ITF Tournaments
04.06.26	Matteo Sciahbasi - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - Matteo Sciahbasi	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	Oliver Crawford - Matteo Sciahbasi	2:1 ✺
28.05.26	Matteo Sciahbasi - Manuel Mazza	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Matteo Sciahbasi - Pietro Pampanin	Pampanin P. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 LWLW?

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Matteo Sciahbasi