Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasov - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 30 June 2025, Monday


	Tom Paris		Andrea Guerrieri

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6	Watch
			Watch
	2.77	1.43
			Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.23	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.67)	1.55 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Paris
39.8%

Andrea Guerrieri
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Paris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tom Paris's performance.

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Guerrieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Paris than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tom Paris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Guerrieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tom Paris - Andrea Guerrieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guerrieri will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guerrieri (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Guerrieri (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Guerrieri (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guerrieri (votes: 3 - 100%).

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Preview

Paris is ranked ATP: 392. Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 537.

Recent performances by Paris have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guerrieri is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Paris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guerrieri is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Guerrieri will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paris won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Paris
ATP Challenger
29.06.25	Tom Paris - S D Prajwal Dev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Tom Paris - Thomas Gerbaud	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	Tom Paris - Alexandre Vassard	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Mika Brunold - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Thomas Faurel - Tom Paris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW
- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
29.06.25	Sebastian Gima - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.06.25	Sebastian Gima - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
07.06.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Theo Papamalamis	Papamalamis T. retired ✺
06.06.25	Valentin Basel - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
05.06.25	Karol Filar - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.11.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Tom Paris	2:0
08.08.23	Tom Paris - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2

Tom Paris - Andrea Guerrieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide