Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ORLEANS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday


	Tomas Machac		Maxime Cressy

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.75	Watch
	2.03	1.81
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.71	Watch
	2	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.83)	1.75 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
46.5%

Maxime Cressy
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Maxime Cressy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tomas Machac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxime Cressy than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maxime Cressy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	0%	73.7%

Tomas Machac - Maxime Cressy Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Cressy will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cressy: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Machac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Cressy to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Machac won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.09.23	Tomas Machac - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
09.09.23	Alexandre Muller - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
08.09.23	Tomas Machac - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
06.09.23	Tomas Machac - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW
- Maxime Cressy
ATP Challenger
19.09.23	Maxime Cressy - David Goffin	Canceled ✺
17.09.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Maxime Cressy	Bonzi B. retired ✺
16.09.23	Maxime Cressy - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
15.09.23	Mattia Bellucci - Maxime Cressy	0:2 ✺
14.09.23	Maxime Cressy - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 ??WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
19.01.22	Tomas Machac - Maxime Cressy	1:3
ATP Challenger
06.11.21	Tomas Machac - Maxime Cressy	1:2

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