Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Miguel de Tucuman - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Tomas Martinez		Thiago Cigarran

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.72	Watch
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.04	1.76
	2.13	1.67	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.96	1.77	Watch
	2.03	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.62)	1.72 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Martinez
46%

Thiago Cigarran
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tomas Martinez's performance.

Thiago Cigarran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thiago Cigarran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martinez than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tomas Martinez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Cigarran than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thiago Cigarran could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tomas Martinez - Thiago Cigarran Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martinez is ranked ATP: 1276. Cigarran is ranked ATP: 866.

Recent matches Martinez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cigarran is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cigarran will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martinez
ITF Tournaments
21.03.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Tomas Martinez	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Tomas Martinez - Sekou Bangoura	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Tomas Martinez - Enzo Camargo Lima	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Tomas Martinez - Ezequiel Monferrer	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Hernan Casanova - Tomas Martinez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LWWLW
- Thiago Cigarran
ITF Tournaments
03.04.25	Franco Roncadelli - Thiago Cigarran	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Felipe De Dios - Thiago Cigarran	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Valentin Garay - Thiago Cigarran	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Sekou Bangoura - Thiago Cigarran	Canceled ✺
15.03.25	Thiago Cigarran - Valerio Aboian	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWL?L

Tomas Martinez - Thiago Cigarran: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide