Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sion, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday


	Tommaso Compagnucci		Juan Manuel La Serna

	1	2
			Watch
	1.70	2.05
	1.66	2.17	Watch
	1.74	2.19
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.16
	1.66	2.10	Watch
	1.66	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)	2.12 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommaso Compagnucci
55.8%

Juan Manuel La Serna
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommaso Compagnucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Juan Manuel La Serna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tommaso Compagnucci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Manuel La Serna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tommaso Compagnucci - Juan Manuel La Serna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Compagnucci is ranked ATP: 364. La Serna is ranked ATP: 288.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommaso Compagnucci
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Ryan Nijboer - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Max Dahlin	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Thiago Monteiro - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Aleksandr Braynin - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL
- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Luca Staeheli - Juan Manuel La Serna	Staeheli L. Retired ✺
18.08.26	Facundo Mena - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Ignacio Monzon	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?WLWL

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