Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Guatemala 2 (Guatemala), hard - Final

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Tristan McCormick		Evan Zhu

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.8	1.87
	1.81	1.89	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.83)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan McCormick
50.4%

Evan Zhu
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan McCormick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Evan Zhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Tristan McCormick - Evan Zhu Predictions

Users Predictions: Evan Zhu will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McCormick is ranked ATP: 687. Zhu is ranked ATP: 1147.

McCormick is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zhu is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Zhu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches McCormick won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan McCormick
ITF Tournaments
16.11.24	Tristan McCormick - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:0 ✺
15.11.24	Tristan McCormick - Ricardo Rodriguez Pace	2:0 ✺
14.11.24	Tristan McCormick - Ondrej Horak	2:1 ✺
12.11.24	Tristan McCormick - Benjamin Torrealba	2:1 ✺
08.11.24	Miguel Tobon - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWL
- Evan Zhu
ITF Tournaments
16.11.24	Joshua Peck - Evan Zhu	1:2 ✺
15.11.24	Evan Zhu - Alexander Stater	2:1 ✺
14.11.24	Evan Zhu - Alejandro Bancalari	2:0 ✺
13.11.24	Evan Zhu - Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Evan Zhu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.06.23	Evan Zhu - Tristan McCormick	2:1
ITF Tournaments
08.12.21	Evan Zhu - Tristan McCormick	0:2

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