Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Merida (Mexico) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 17 March 2025, Monday


	Tristan McCormick		Robin Catry

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.7	2.08
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.72)	2.05 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan McCormick
54.7%

Robin Catry
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan McCormick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Robin Catry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robin Catry than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tristan McCormick - Robin Catry Predictions

Users Predictions: Robin Catry will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McCormick is ranked ATP: 729. Catry is ranked ATP: 968.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Catry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan McCormick
ATP Challenger
16.03.25	Tristan McCormick - Reese Stalder	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.03.25	Kase Schinnerer - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
12.03.25	Lucca Pinto - Tristan McCormick	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	Tristan McCormick - Gage Brymer	1:2 ✺
06.03.25	Tristan McCormick - Marco Alvarez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW
- Robin Catry
ATP Challenger
16.03.25	Drew Van Orderlain - Robin Catry	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.02.25	Pierre Antoine Faut - Robin Catry	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	Victor Barrere - Robin Catry	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Loann Massard - Robin Catry	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Robin Catry - Mikalai Haliak	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW

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