Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday


	Tristan Schoolkate		Aidan Mayo

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2.13
	1.74	2.14
	1.73	2
	1.69	2.12	Watch
	1.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.85)	2.09 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
55.3%

Aidan Mayo
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristan Schoolkate's performance.

Aidan Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aidan Mayo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristan Schoolkate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aidan Mayo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aidan Mayo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Tristan Schoolkate - Aidan Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Mayo will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schoolkate is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mayo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Schoolkate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Schoolkate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Schoolkate - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.77%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
10.04.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Vasek Pospisil	1:2 ✺
09.04.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Kiranpal Pannu	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Marc Polmans - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
26.03.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
01.03.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Aidan Mayo
ATP Challenger
11.04.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Omar Jasika - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Aidan Mayo - Maxime Janvier	0:2 ✺
03.04.24	Aidan Mayo - Alessandro Giannessi	2:1 ✺
02.04.24	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Aidan Mayo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.08.23	Aidan Mayo - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1

Tristan Schoolkate - Aidan Mayo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide