Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Koblenz (Germany), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday


	Vadym Ursu		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.09	1.69	Watch
			Watch
	2.18	1.64	Watch
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.85)	1.66 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vadym Ursu
44%

Mathys Erhard
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vadym Ursu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vadym Ursu's performance.

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mathys Erhard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vadym Ursu than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vadym Ursu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mathys Erhard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Vadym Ursu - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ursu will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Erhard will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ursu is ranked ATP: 404. Erhard is ranked ATP: 291.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Erhard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Erhard will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Erhard to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vadym Ursu
ATP Challenger
27.01.25	Vadym Ursu - Mats Rosenkranz	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Alexey Zakharov - Vadym Ursu	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.12.24	Lingxi Zhao - Vadym Ursu	2:1 ✺
11.12.24	Jonas Keck - Vadym Ursu	0:2 ✺
07.12.24	Vadym Ursu - Marek Gengel	Ursu V. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLW?
- Mathys Erhard
ITF Tournaments
08.01.25	Mathys Erhard - Luca Castelnuovo	1:2 ✺
07.01.25	Mathys Erhard - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0 ✺
03.01.25	Mathys Erhard - Alastair Gray	Erhard M. retired ✺
02.01.25	Mathys Erhard - Yuvan Nandal	2:0 ✺
01.01.25	Mathys Erhard - Manish Sureshkumar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LW?WW

Vadym Ursu - Mathys Erhard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide