Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Soma Bay, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday


	Vadym Ursu		Maxim Mrva

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
			Watch
	2.75	1.37	Watch
	2.84	1.37	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.8)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vadym Ursu
32.7%

Maxim Mrva
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vadym Ursu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vadym Ursu than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Vadym Ursu - Maxim Mrva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ursu is ranked ATP: 452. Mrva is ranked ATP: 361.

Ursu is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mrva has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ursu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mrva is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ursu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Vadym Ursu - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.17%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vadym Ursu
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Vadym Ursu - Egor Agafonov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Vadym Ursu - Izan Almazan Valiente	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Vadym Ursu - Michael Gloeckler	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Vadym Ursu - Stefan Seifert	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Vadym Ursu - Ognjen Milic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW
- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Maxim Mrva	Vives Marcos P. retired ✺
22.10.25	Maxim Mrva - Chris Rodesch	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Maxim Mrva - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Maxim Mrva - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Giles Hussey - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 ?LLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.04.24	Maxim Mrva - Vadym Ursu	Ursu V. retired

Vadym Ursu - Maxim Mrva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide