Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Iasi, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Sport 2


	Valentin Royer		Titouan Droguet

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.3	1.69
	2.19	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.67
	2.09	1.63	Watch
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.87)	1.64 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
42.8%

Titouan Droguet
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentin Royer's form might have worsened.

Titouan Droguet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Titouan Droguet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valentin Royer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Titouan Droguet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Valentin Royer - Titouan Droguet Predictions

Users Predictions: Titouan Droguet will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Royer is ranked ATP: 75. Droguet is ranked ATP: 116.

Royer is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Droguet's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Royer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Droguet might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Royer won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Royer - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.32%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.

Titouan Droguet - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.68%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Valentin Royer - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Valentin Royer - Olle Wallin	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Valentin Royer - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Valentin Royer - Filip Cristian Jianu	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Valentin Royer - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWW?L
- Titouan Droguet
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Titouan Droguet - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Titouan Droguet - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Titouan Droguet - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Adrian Mannarino - Titouan Droguet	3:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.26	Titouan Droguet - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Valentin Royer - Titouan Droguet	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.25	Valentin Royer - Titouan Droguet	3:0
ATP Montpellier
26.01.25	Valentin Royer - Titouan Droguet	1:2

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