Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Sao João da Boa Vista, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday


	Valentina Mediorreal Arias		Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele

	1	2
	2.16	1.64
	3.32	1.26	Watch
	2.13	1.65	Watch
	1.59	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.59)	1.7 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentina Mediorreal Arias
42.5%

Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentina Mediorreal Arias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentina Mediorreal Arias's form might have worsened.

Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentina Mediorreal Arias than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valentina Mediorreal Arias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mediorreal Arias is ranked WTA: 796. Gonzalez Daniele is ranked WTA: 756.

In recent matches, Mediorreal Arias has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gonzalez Daniele's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gonzalez Daniele may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentina Mediorreal Arias
ITF Tournaments
08.10.25	Marjorie Souza - Valentina Mediorreal Arias	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Valentina Mediorreal Arias	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Weronika Falkowska - Valentina Mediorreal Arias	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Candela Vazquez	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Zuzanna Pawlikowska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL
- Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
ITF Tournaments
07.10.25	Clara Borrasca - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Gabriela Ce - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele - Carla Markus	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele - Victoria Bosio	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele - Ana Candiotto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 WLLLL

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