Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Caserta, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 June 2025, Thursday


	Valeriya Strakhova		Alessandra Mazzola

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6
	2.09	1.68
	2.46	1.51	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.35	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.85)	1.59 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valeriya Strakhova
41.4%

Alessandra Mazzola
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valeriya Strakhova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valeriya Strakhova's form might have worsened.

Alessandra Mazzola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alessandra Mazzola's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valeriya Strakhova than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valeriya Strakhova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandra Mazzola than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alessandra Mazzola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valeriya Strakhova - Alessandra Mazzola Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mazzola (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Strakhova is ranked WTA: 255. Mazzola is ranked WTA: 619.

Strakhova is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mazzola has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mazzola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mazzola is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alessandra Mazzola - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valeriya Strakhova
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Lanlana Tararudee - Valeriya Strakhova	Tararudee L. retired ✺
WTA Strasbourg
17.05.25	Valeriya Strakhova - Bernarda Pera	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.05.25	Valeriya Strakhova - Astra Sharma	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Valeriya Strakhova - Valentina Ryser	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Jessica Bertoldo - Valeriya Strakhova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 ?LLWL
- Alessandra Mazzola
ITF Tournaments
03.06.25	Federica Di Sarra - Alessandra Mazzola	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Alessandra Mazzola	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Alessandra Mazzola - Oleksandra Oliynykova	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Alessandra Mazzola - Arina Garbiela Vasilescu	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Sarah Iliev - Alessandra Mazzola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLWL

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