Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2023, Monday


	Varvara Gracheva		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.5	1.53
	2.55	1.51
	2.63	1.56
	2.5	1.53
	2.51	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.61)	1.53 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Gracheva
37.8%

Darya Kasatkina
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Varvara Gracheva - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gracheva: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gracheva is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kasatkina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kasatkina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kasatkina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gracheva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.23	Petra Martic - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
09.03.23	Ysaline Bonaventure - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
07.03.23	Varvara Gracheva - Anna-Lena Friedsam	2:1 ✺
06.03.23	Varvara Gracheva - Petra Marcinko	2:0 ✺
WTA Austin
05.03.23	Varvara Gracheva - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL
- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.23	Tatjana Maria - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
21.02.23	Darya Kasatkina - Barbora Krejcikova	1:2 ✺
WTA Doha
15.02.23	Darya Kasatkina - Beatriz Haddad Maia	0:2 ✺
14.02.23	Darya Kasatkina - Rebecca Marino	2:0 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
10.02.23	Darya Kasatkina - Qinwen Zheng	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
18.01.23	Darya Kasatkina - Varvara Gracheva	0:2
WTA Melbourne Phillip Island Trophy
14.02.21	Varvara Gracheva - Darya Kasatkina	0:2

Varvara Gracheva - Darya Kasatkina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide