Match Info

Date: 27 April 2022, Wednesday


	Varvara Gracheva		Heather Watson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.4
	1.58	2.35
	1.54	2.33
	1.57	2.46
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.54	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.7)	2.38 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Gracheva
60.5%

Heather Watson
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Heather Watson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varvara Gracheva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heather Watson than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heather Watson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Varvara Gracheva - Heather Watson Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Watson will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gracheva: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Watson could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Madrid
26.04.22	Varvara Gracheva - Maddison Inglis	2:0 ✺
WTA Istanbul
21.04.22	Varvara Gracheva - Sara Sorribes Tormo	0:2 ✺
20.04.22	Varvara Gracheva - Marie Bouzkova	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.04.22	Varvara Gracheva - Yuliya Hatouka	1:2 ✺
05.04.22	Varvara Gracheva - Cristina Bucsa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLW
- Heather Watson
WTA Madrid
26.04.22	Heather Watson - Kristina Kucova	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
04.04.22	Heather Watson - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
03.04.22	Heather Watson - Ulrikke Eikeri	0:2 ✺
02.04.22	Heather Watson - Ellie Halbauer	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
26.03.22	Belinda Bencic - Heather Watson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL

Varvara Gracheva - Heather Watson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide