Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Contrexeville, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday


	Varvara Gracheva		Julia Riera

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.4	2.99
			Watch
	1.36	3
	1.37	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.44)	2.94 ↑ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Gracheva
68.1%

Julia Riera
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Julia Riera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julia Riera than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Varvara Gracheva - Julia Riera Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Riera will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gracheva: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gracheva (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Riera (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gracheva is ranked WTA: 92. Riera is ranked WTA: 190.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Riera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gracheva might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Gracheva
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Varvara Gracheva - Margaux Rouvroy	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
30.06.25	Varvara Gracheva - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	1:2 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
27.06.25	Alexandra Eala - Varvara Gracheva	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	Varvara Gracheva - Barbora Krejcikova	Gracheva V. walkover ✺
25.06.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLL?W
- Julia Riera
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Julia Riera - Mathilde Lollia	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Katarzyna Kawa - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.25	Iva Jovic - Julia Riera	2:1 ✺
24.06.25	Taylah Preston - Julia Riera	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.06.25	Dominika Salkova - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWL

Varvara Gracheva - Julia Riera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide