Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Varvara Lepchenko		Harriet Dart

	1	2
	1.53	2.4
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.49	2.67
	1.47	2.61	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.5	2.48
	1.5	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.72)	2.47 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Lepchenko
62.1%

Harriet Dart
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varvara Lepchenko's performance.

Harriet Dart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harriet Dart might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varvara Lepchenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harriet Dart than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harriet Dart could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Varvara Lepchenko - Harriet Dart Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Lepchenko (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Lepchenko (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lepchenko (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 120. Dart is ranked WTA: 110.

Recent matches Lepchenko is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dart is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dart could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lepchenko will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
19.04.25	Dalma Galfi - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Elena Pridankina - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Sinja Kraus - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Alevtina Ibragimova - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.04.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Kaitlin Quevedo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWL
- Harriet Dart
WTA Rouen
15.04.25	Lois Boisson - Harriet Dart	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
31.03.25	Harriet Dart - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Harriet Dart - Eri Hozumi	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Harriet Dart	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.25	Kimberly Birrell - Harriet Dart	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LL?LL

Varvara Lepchenko - Harriet Dart: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide