Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: La Bisbal D'Emporda, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday


	Varvara Lepchenko		Laura Pigossi

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.5
	1.53	2.7
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.46	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.6)	2.56 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Lepchenko
63.4%

Laura Pigossi
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varvara Lepchenko's performance.

Laura Pigossi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Laura Pigossi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laura Pigossi than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Varvara Lepchenko - Laura Pigossi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 157. Pigossi is ranked WTA: 217.

Lepchenko has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pigossi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lepchenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lepchenko could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lepchenko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Varvara Lepchenko - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.89%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
22.04.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Carol Young Suh Lee - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
03.04.26	Emiliana Arango - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Varvara Lepchenko - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Lia Karatancheva - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWLWW
- Laura Pigossi
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Laura Pigossi - Maria Aran Teixido Garcia	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.04.26	Alice Tubello - Laura Pigossi	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Lucie Nguyen Tan - Laura Pigossi	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Demi Tran - Laura Pigossi	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Stacy Chepkemei Yego - Laura Pigossi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Laura Pigossi	2:0

Varvara Lepchenko - Laura Pigossi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide