Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Parma, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday


	Victoria Mboko		Xin Yu Wang

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.75	1.98
	1.9	1.81	Watch
	1.76	2.09
	1.85	1.94	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.9	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.17)	1.89 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Mboko
50.5%

Xin Yu Wang
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Mboko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Victoria Mboko's performance.

Xin Yu Wang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xin Yu Wang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Mboko than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Victoria Mboko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xin Yu Wang than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xin Yu Wang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Victoria Mboko - Xin Yu Wang Predictions

Users Predictions: Victoria Mboko will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Victoria Mboko will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mboko is ranked WTA: 156. Wang is ranked WTA: 43.

Mboko is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Wang has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Xin Yu Wang - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.55%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Mboko
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Jil Belen Teichmann - Victoria Mboko	1:2 ✺
12.05.25	Victoria Mboko - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	2:1 ✺
WTA Roma
09.05.25	Cori Gauff - Victoria Mboko	2:1 ✺
07.05.25	Arianna Zucchini - Victoria Mboko	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Kamilla Rakhimova - Victoria Mboko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW
- Xin Yu Wang
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Xin Yu Wang	1:2 ✺
13.05.25	Shuai Zhang - Xin Yu Wang	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
07.05.25	Marketa Vondrousova - Xin Yu Wang	Canceled ✺
WTA Madrid
23.04.25	Xin Yu Wang - Maria Sakkari	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
19.03.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WW?LL

Victoria Mboko - Xin Yu Wang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide