Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SABADELL 2 (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 September 2023, Thursday


	Vilius Gaubas		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.48	2.45
	1.45	2.63
	1.5	2.5
	1.42	2.66	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.41)	2.53 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
63.4%

Max Alcala Gurri
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

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Preview

Gaubas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcala Gurri is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alcala Gurri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gaubas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Alcala Gurri to win the game is with odds 2.54.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gaubas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ITF Tournaments
26.09.23	Vilius Gaubas - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Sebastian Baez - Vilius Gaubas	Canceled ✺
16.09.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.23	Kane Bonsach Ganley - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
27.08.23	Vilius Gaubas - Svyatoslav Gulin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 W?LLL
- Max Alcala Gurri
ITF Tournaments
27.09.23	Max Alcala Gurri - Maxime Mora	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Maxime Mora - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
22.09.23	Jorge Martinez Martinez - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
21.09.23	Ivan Kazakov - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.07.23	Max Alcala Gurri - Vilius Gaubas	1:2

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