Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 35, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Vincent Marysko		Sergio Callejon Hernando

	1	2
	4.54	1.15	Watch
	3.2	1.31	Watch
	3.5	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.23)	1.23 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vincent Marysko
24.7%

Sergio Callejon Hernando
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vincent Marysko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Sergio Callejon Hernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vincent Marysko than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergio Callejon Hernando than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Vincent Marysko - Sergio Callejon Hernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marysko is ranked ATP: 965. Callejon Hernando is ranked ATP: 652.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Marysko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Callejon Hernando is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vincent Marysko
ITF Tournaments
05.09.25	Vincent Marysko - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Vincent Marysko - Kaspar Mathes	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Vincent Marysko	Lopez Morillo I. retired ✺
29.08.25	Michael Agwi - Vincent Marysko	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Vincent Marysko - Juan Estevez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LW?LW
- Sergio Callejon Hernando
ITF Tournaments
05.09.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Maxence Beauge	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Liam Hignett	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Pierre Antoine Faut	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	David Pichler - Sergio Callejon Hernando	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW

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