Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday


	Vittoria Paganetti		Miriam Bianca Bulgaru

	1	2
			Watch
	2.9	1.34
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	3.12	1.33
	3.09	1.31	Watch
	3	1.36
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.92)	1.34 (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vittoria Paganetti
30.8%

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

75.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vittoria Paganetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vittoria Paganetti than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vittoria Paganetti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miriam Bianca Bulgaru than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miriam Bianca Bulgaru could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vittoria Paganetti - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paganetti is ranked WTA: 498. Bulgaru is ranked WTA: 248.

Paganetti has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bulgaru is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bulgaru may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bulgaru is the team to beat.

We predict that Bulgaru will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vittoria Paganetti
ITF Tournaments
07.08.25	Lina Gjorcheska - Vittoria Paganetti	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Vittoria Paganetti - Rada Zolotareva	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Vittoria Paganetti - Veronika Erjavec	0:2 ✺
28.07.25	Vittoria Paganetti - En Shuo Liang	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Vittoria Paganetti - Sofia Rocchetti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
ITF Tournaments
10.08.25	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Lina Gjorcheska	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Denislava Glushkova	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Mia Ristic	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Martha Matoula	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Natalija Senic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW

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