Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Cary, NC, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday


	Wakana Sonobe		Darja Vidmanova

	1	2
	1.95	1.76
	2.22	1.64
			Watch
	1.99	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.23)	1.71 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wakana Sonobe
45.4%

Darja Vidmanova
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wakana Sonobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Darja Vidmanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wakana Sonobe than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wakana Sonobe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darja Vidmanova than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darja Vidmanova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Sonobe is ranked WTA: 304. Vidmanova is ranked WTA: 249.

Sonobe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vidmanova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vidmanova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vidmanova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Vidmanova will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wakana Sonobe
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Rachel Gailis - Wakana Sonobe	1:2 ✺
03.07.25	Mayu Crossley - Wakana Sonobe	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	Wakana Sonobe - Lanlana Tararudee	1:2 ✺
03.06.25	Marina Bassols Ribera - Wakana Sonobe	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Wakana Sonobe - Sara Saito	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLL
- Darja Vidmanova
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Madison Brengle - Darja Vidmanova	Brengle M. retired ✺
02.07.25	Darja Vidmanova - Kayla Cross	2:1 ✺
08.06.25	Darja Vidmanova - Cadence Brace	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Darja Vidmanova - Mary Stoiana	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Shrivalli Rashmikaa Bhamidipaty - Darja Vidmanova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?WWWW

Wakana Sonobe - Darja Vidmanova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide