Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 ARLON (BELGIUM), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 June 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: ARLON (BELGIUM) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Wilson Leite		Amaury Raynel

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.5	2.47
	1.44	2.62
	1.49	2.44	Watch
	1.47	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.3)	2.47 ↓ (3.05)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wilson Leite
62.6%

Amaury Raynel
37.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wilson Leite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wilson Leite's form might have worsened.

Amaury Raynel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amaury Raynel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wilson Leite than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wilson Leite, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amaury Raynel than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amaury Raynel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Leite is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Raynel is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Raynel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Leite will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wilson Leite
ATP Challenger
18.06.23	Wilson Leite - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
12.06.23	Giovanni Fonio - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.06.23	Wilson Leite - Vito Tonejc	0:2 ✺
01.06.23	Jerome Kym - Wilson Leite	2:1 ✺
31.05.23	Wilson Leite - Alejandro Hoyos Franco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- Amaury Raynel
ITF Tournaments
21.06.23	Amaury Raynel - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
15.06.23	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Amaury Raynel	2:0 ✺
14.06.23	Amaury Raynel - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
31.05.23	Mathias Bourgue - Amaury Raynel	2:1 ✺
30.05.23	Ignacio Novo - Amaury Raynel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLW

Wilson Leite - Amaury Raynel

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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