Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Xiaodi You		Jessica Pieri

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.77	1.94
	1.56	2.47
	1.37	2.93	Watch
	1.71	2.04	Watch
	1.61	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.67)	2.27 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xiaodi You
58.5%

Jessica Pieri
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xiaodi You has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Jessica Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xiaodi You than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pieri than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Xiaodi You - Jessica Pieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. You will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Pieri will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pieri: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jessica Pieri will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

You is ranked WTA: 291. Pieri is ranked WTA: 286.

Recent performances by You have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pieri is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

You may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xiaodi You
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Xiaodi You - Anastasia Gasanova	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Xiaodi You - Maria Timofeeva	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Wushuang Zheng - Xiaodi You	0:2 ✺
WTA Monterrey
17.08.25	Antonia Ruzic - Xiaodi You	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Xiaodi You - Mei Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW
- Jessica Pieri
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Jessica Pieri - Anastasia Gasanova	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Jessica Pieri	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Wushuang Zheng - Jessica Pieri	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Jessica Pieri - Daria Kudashova	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Jessica Pieri - Eudice Wong Chong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWW

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