Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Rio Claro, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday


	Xiaodi You		Lucciana Perez Alarcon

	1	2
	1.45	2.5
	1.58	2.31
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.53	2.37	Watch
	1.59	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.59)	2.33 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xiaodi You
60.2%

Lucciana Perez Alarcon
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xiaodi You has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Lucciana Perez Alarcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xiaodi You than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xiaodi You that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucciana Perez Alarcon than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucciana Perez Alarcon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Xiaodi You - Lucciana Perez Alarcon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

You is ranked WTA: 366. Perez Alarcon is ranked WTA: 441.

You is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Perez Alarcon is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

You may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

You could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xiaodi You
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Xiaodi You - Berta Bonardi	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Xiaodi You - Carla Markus	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Xiaodi You - Romina Ccuno	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Xiaodi You - Cadence Brace	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Leonie Kung - Xiaodi You	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW
- Lucciana Perez Alarcon
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Martina Capurro Taborda	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Katja Markus	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group II
21.06.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Lauren Kettlewell	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Camila Romero	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Nicole Alfaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW

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