Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: SAN LUIS POTOSI (MEXICO) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 25 March 2024, Monday


	Xiaodi You		Victoria Rodriguez

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.55
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.37	1.56
	2.37	1.56
	2.1	1.67
	2.35	1.56	Watch
	2.24	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.69)	1.58 ↓ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xiaodi You
40.9%

Victoria Rodriguez
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xiaodi You has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Xiaodi You's form might have worsened.

Victoria Rodriguez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victoria Rodriguez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xiaodi You than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xiaodi You, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Rodriguez than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Victoria Rodriguez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Xiaodi You - Victoria Rodriguez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Rodriguez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rodriguez will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xiaodi You
ITF Tournaments
28.02.24	Clervie Ngounoue - Xiaodi You	2:0 ✺
27.02.24	Yukina Saigo - Xiaodi You	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Xiaodi You - Lina Glushko	0:2 ✺
20.02.24	Xiaodi You - Nahia Berecoechea	2:1 ✺
06.02.24	Katie Swan - Xiaodi You	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL
- Victoria Rodriguez
ITF Tournaments
13.03.24	Victoria Rodriguez - Nahia Berecoechea	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Xinyu Gao - Victoria Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Victoria Rodriguez - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Lea Ma - Victoria Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Hina Inoue - Victoria Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWWW

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