Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Kursumlijska Banja, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday


	Xinyu Gao		Francesca Curmi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.53	2.38
	1.54	2.39
	1.5	2.5
	1.5	2.44	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.3)	2.46 ↓ (3.47)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xinyu Gao
62.1%

Francesca Curmi
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinyu Gao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Xinyu Gao's form might have worsened.

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesca Curmi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinyu Gao than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xinyu Gao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesca Curmi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Xinyu Gao - Francesca Curmi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gao is ranked WTA: 147. Curmi is ranked WTA: 369.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gao is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinyu Gao
ITF Tournaments
28.04.25	Shuai Zhang - Xinyu Gao	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Astra Sharma - Xinyu Gao	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Anastasiia Gureva - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Xinyu Gao - Veronika Erjavec	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Xinyu Gao - Celine Naef	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW
- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
20.05.25	Francesca Curmi - Stefania Bojica	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Amandine Hesse - Francesca Curmi	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Celia Cervino Ruiz - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Min Liu - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Francesca Curmi - Emina Bektas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL

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