Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid (Spain) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:45	SportKlub
Croatia	17:45	SportKlub
Denmark	17:45	TV2 Sport X
France	17:45	beIN Sports
Germany	17:45	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Romania	18:45	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	17:45	SportKlub
Slovenia	17:45	SportKlub
Ukraine	18:45	Setanta Sports


	Xiyu Wang		Ana Bogdan

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.75	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2.13
	1.78	2.14
	1.8	2
	1.8	2.02	Watch
	1.8	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.69)	2.06 ↓ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xiyu Wang
53.7%

Ana Bogdan
46.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xiyu Wang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Ana Bogdan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xiyu Wang than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xiyu Wang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ana Bogdan than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ana Bogdan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Xiyu Wang - Ana Bogdan Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Wang will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Bogdan will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wang: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wang is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bogdan is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wang won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xiyu Wang
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
13.04.24	Xiyu Wang - Sohyun Park	Wang Xiy. retired
10.04.24	Xiyu Wang - Lulu Sun	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
21.03.24	Anna Kalinskaya - Xiyu Wang	2:0 ✺
19.03.24	Xiyu Wang - Anna Karolina Schmiedlova	2:0 ✺
19.03.24	Xiyu Wang - Emma Raducanu	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?WLW?
- Ana Bogdan
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
13.04.24	Elina Svitolina - Ana Bogdan	1:2 ✺
12.04.24	Lesia Tsurenko - Ana Bogdan	2:1 ✺
WTA Charleston
02.04.24	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Ana Bogdan	2:1 ✺
WTA Miami
19.03.24	Ana Bogdan - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.24	Diana Shnaider - Ana Bogdan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Budapest
14.07.22	Xiyu Wang - Ana Bogdan	2:0
ATP Challenger
06.06.22	Ana Bogdan - Xiyu Wang	0:2

Xiyu Wang - Ana Bogdan