The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yaroslav Demin 34.7%
Khumoun Sultanov 65.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
59.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
59.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yaroslav Demin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yaroslav Demin's form might have worsened.
Khumoun Sultanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Khumoun Sultanov's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yaroslav Demin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khumoun Sultanov than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khumoun Sultanov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Recent matches Rahman is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sultanov is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Rahman could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Sultanov will have a mini benefit in this match.
Our prediction for today's Sultanov to win the game is with odds 1.42.