Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Yasmine Mansouri		Matilde Jorge

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.77	1.45
	2.64	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.59	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.25)	1.42 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yasmine Mansouri
34.4%

Matilde Jorge
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yasmine Mansouri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yasmine Mansouri's form might have worsened.

Matilde Jorge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matilde Jorge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasmine Mansouri than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yasmine Mansouri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matilde Jorge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yasmine Mansouri - Matilde Jorge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jorge (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mansouri is ranked WTA: 406. Jorge is ranked WTA: 257.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Mansouri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jorge will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mansouri won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yasmine Mansouri
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Yasmine Mansouri - Nadya Kolb	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Yasmine Mansouri - Analu Freitas	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Yasmine Mansouri	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.01.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Yasmine Mansouri	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Alyssa Reguer - Yasmine Mansouri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLW
- Matilde Jorge
ATP Challenger
14.02.26	Matilde Jorge - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Matilde Jorge	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Matilde Jorge - Kaitlin Quevedo	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Matilde Jorge - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.02.26	Matilde Jorge - Fiona Crawley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.09.24	Matilde Jorge - Yasmine Mansouri	2:0

Yasmine Mansouri - Matilde Jorge: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide