Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday


	Yibing Wu		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	2.07	1.74	Watch
	2.04	1.86
	2.00	1.77	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.04	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.2)	1.78 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yibing Wu
46.5%

Alexei Popyrin
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yibing Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Yibing Wu - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wu will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Popyrin will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wu: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Wu (votes: 3 - 60%). Popyrin (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wu is ranked ATP: 243. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 24.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Wu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yibing Wu
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Gael Monfils - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Corentin Moutet - Yibing Wu	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Yibing Wu - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
15.07.25	Yibing Wu - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Bernard Tomic - Yibing Wu	Tomic B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWL?
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Alexei Popyrin - Arthur Fery	1:3 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
27.06.25	Alexei Popyrin - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	Alex De Minaur - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP London
18.06.25	Alexei Popyrin - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Alexei Popyrin - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Adelaide
31.12.22	Yibing Wu - Alexei Popyrin	1:2

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