Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Yibing Wu		Liam Draxl

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.5
			Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.52	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.52)	2.37 ↓ (2.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yibing Wu
60.4%

Liam Draxl
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yibing Wu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Yibing Wu - Liam Draxl Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wu (votes: 1 - 50%). Draxl (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wu is ranked ATP: 285. Draxl is ranked ATP: 147.

Wu has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Draxl has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Draxl may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yibing Wu
ATP Challenger
04.07.25	Yibing Wu - Michael Zheng	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Kaylan Bigun - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Yibing Wu - Ian Mayew	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Yibing Wu - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Karue Sell - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW
- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
04.07.25	Aidan Mayo - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Joshua Sheehy - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Philip Sekulic - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Liam Draxl - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Trevor Svajda - Liam Draxl	Draxl L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWL?

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