Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Luan 4, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday


	Yingqun Sun		Junhan Zhang

	1	2
	3.16	1.34
	3.70	1.22	Watch
			Watch
	2.95	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.62)	1.3 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yingqun Sun
28.4%

Junhan Zhang
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yingqun Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yingqun Sun's form might have worsened.

Junhan Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Junhan Zhang's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yingqun Sun than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yingqun Sun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junhan Zhang than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Junhan Zhang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yingqun Sun - Junhan Zhang Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sun is ranked WTA: 901. Zhang is ranked WTA: 888.

Sun is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zhang's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zhang is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yingqun Sun
ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Chengyiyi Yuan - Yingqun Sun	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Yingqun Sun - Lexue Xiao	Xiao L. retired ✺
18.07.25	Polina Kuharenko - Yingqun Sun	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Yingqun Sun - Elsa Wan	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Yingqun Sun - Anri Nagata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 W?LWW
- Junhan Zhang
ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Junhan Zhang - Yushan Shao	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Ying Zhang - Junhan Zhang	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Junhan Zhang - Ying Zhang	1:2 ✺
25.07.25	Junhan Zhang - Jiaqi Wang	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Junhan Zhang - Jiayi Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWW

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