What is the expert prediction for Yue Yuan vs Marina Bassols Ribera?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Yue Yuan vs Marina Bassols Ribera. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Yue Yuan vs Marina Bassols Ribera Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, April 09, 2026)

Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Yue Yuan		Marina Bassols Ribera

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.48	2.71
	1.45	2.58	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.48	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.85)	2.63 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yue Yuan
64.4%

Marina Bassols Ribera
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yue Yuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yue Yuan's performance.

Marina Bassols Ribera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marina Bassols Ribera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yue Yuan than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yue Yuan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marina Bassols Ribera than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marina Bassols Ribera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Predictions

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 2:0

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Preview

Yuan is ranked WTA: 113. Bassols Ribera is ranked WTA: 205.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Yuan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Yuan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yuan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

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Last Results with these Odds

Marina Bassols Ribera - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yue Yuan
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Yue Yuan - Carmen Gallardo Guevara	2:1 ✺
WTA Charleston
01.04.26	Yue Yuan - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Mayar Sherif - Yue Yuan	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Yue Yuan - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Yue Yuan - Kajsa Rinaldo Persson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLW
- Marina Bassols Ribera
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Polona Hercog	Hercog P. Retired ✺
07.04.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Joanna Garland	Canceled ✺
WTA Bogota
29.03.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Anastasia Tikhonova	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Alicia Herrero Linana	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Jule Niemeier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 ??LWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.12.21	Yue Yuan - Marina Bassols Ribera	2:0

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