Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: AUSTIN (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: AUSTIN (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:50	SportKlub
Croatia	19:50	SportKlub
Serbia	19:50	SportKlub
Slovenia	19:50	SportKlub


	Yue Yuan		Taylor Townsend

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	2.17	1.75
	2.1	1.73
	2.12	1.73	Watch
	2.16	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.9)	1.71 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yue Yuan
44.5%

Taylor Townsend
55.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yue Yuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yue Yuan's form might have worsened.

Taylor Townsend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taylor Townsend's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yue Yuan than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yue Yuan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Townsend than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taylor Townsend, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Yue Yuan - Taylor Townsend Predictions

Users Predictions: Yue Yuan will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Yuan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Townsend is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yuan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Yuan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yue Yuan
WTA Austin
26.02.24	Yue Yuan - Arina Rodionova	2:1 ✺
WTA Doha
10.02.24	Yue Yuan - Ashlyn Krueger	0:2 ✺
09.02.24	Yue Yuan - Saisai Zheng	2:0 ✺
WTA Hua Hin
30.01.24	Yue Yuan - Arina Rodionova	1:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
16.01.24	Katie Boulter - Yue Yuan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL
- Taylor Townsend
WTA Austin
27.02.24	Taylor Townsend - Fernanda Contreras Gomez	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.24	Taylor Townsend - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
15.01.24	Taylor Townsend - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
09.01.24	Taylor Townsend - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
06.01.24	Claire Liu - Taylor Townsend	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.10.22	Taylor Townsend - Yue Yuan	2:0

Yue Yuan - Taylor Townsend