The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yuichi Sugita 20.8%
Thanasi Kokkinakis 79.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.5%
70.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
71.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yuichi Sugita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yuichi Sugita's form might have worsened.
Thanasi Kokkinakis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thanasi Kokkinakis's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuichi Sugita than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yuichi Sugita, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thanasi Kokkinakis than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thanasi Kokkinakis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
0%
88.9%
Yuichi Sugita - Thanasi Kokkinakis Predictions
Users Predictions:
Thanasi Kokkinakis will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Recent matches Sugita is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kokkinakis is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).