Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Kurume (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 May 2024, Tuesday


	Yuki Naito		Su Jeong Jang

	1	2
	4.32	1.19	Watch
	2.25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.09)	1.37 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuki Naito
29.4%

Su Jeong Jang
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuki Naito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yuki Naito's form might have worsened.

Su Jeong Jang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Su Jeong Jang's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuki Naito than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yuki Naito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Su Jeong Jang than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Su Jeong Jang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Naito is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Jang is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Naito won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuki Naito
ITF Tournaments
06.05.24	Yuki Naito - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	0:2 ✺
10.04.24	Destanee Aiava - Yuki Naito	2:0 ✺
08.04.24	Lizette Cabrera - Yuki Naito	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Yuki Naito - En Shuo Liang	0:2 ✺
21.03.24	Yuki Naito - Alana Parnaby	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLL
- Su Jeong Jang
ITF Tournaments
10.05.24	Su Jeong Jang - Emina Bektas	1:2 ✺
10.05.24	Su Jeong Jang - Yexin Ma	2:0 ✺
08.05.24	Su Jeong Jang - Zarina Diyas	2:0 ✺
08.05.24	Su Jeong Jang - Lizette Cabrera	2:1 ✺
02.05.24	Arina Rodionova - Su Jeong Jang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.04.22	Yuki Naito - Su Jeong Jang	1:2

Yuki Naito - Su Jeong Jang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide